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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +51.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+51.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$200.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$281.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.89M volume · 7,358 trades · since Feb 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 488 closed
+$283.3k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$1,453
Closed-position win rate
51%
488 closed
Wallet age · markets
239d
455 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | +51.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | LOW BUY No @ 22¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
 Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | LOW BUY Knicks @ 50¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Clippers @ 51¢ | $30.6k | called |
 Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Under @ 52¢ | $40.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Warriors @ 40¢ | $54.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW BUY No @ 45¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $25.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf19d7d…