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What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called
$15.6k
BUY No @ 71¢ · 21,949 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet EB99999 took No (buy) for $15.6k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−245American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
71¢
Implied odds
71.0%
Size
$15.6k
Placed
May 09, 04:40 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
EB99999
Tx
0x7bc3b960…
This wallet's graded record
2/9-52.7 pts
expected 6.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% 0x9561…5497145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.8k0% madril145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% Alphax145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $100.1k
4.0× usual
0% strike123145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Thaws145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% Wogg145d agoexcluded