← Live flags
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $29.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded$29.4k
BUY No @ 98.1¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet SAPolitcsSeer took No (buy) for $29.4k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5163American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.1¢
- Implied odds
- 98.1%
- Size
- $29.4k
- Placed
- Apr 02, 10:26 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SAPolitcsSeer
- Tx
- 0x7b9bf37f…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+5.2 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -98 ptsNo price · entry 98.1¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $183.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |