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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$234.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.7k
Last 30 days −$0 · $1.10M volume · 869 trades · since Mar 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$17.5k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$410
Closed-position win rate
90%
143 closed
Wallet age · markets
231d
144 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $34.4k | excluded |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.8¢ | $90.5k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xab811f…