← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
SELL Yes @ 48¢ · 21,603 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet newbeecat took Yes (sell) for $10.4k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 51.7%
- As American odds
- −107 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 16:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- newbeecat
- Tx
- 0x79e40dc2…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+12.2 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsYes price · entry 48¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $54.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $135.2k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $119.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |