WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $34.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?excluded
$34.0k
BUY Yes @ 68¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 768543265 took Yes (buy) for $34.0k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $34.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
68¢
Implied odds
68.0%
As American odds
−213 no vig
Size
$34.0k
Placed
Feb 22, 11:08 EST
Market close
Feb 22, 11:30 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
768543265
Tx
0x78c0bf3c…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+20.7 pts
expected 3.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +32 pts
Yes price · entry 68¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 68¢ · $34.0k WHALE $34.0K @ 68¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% 08AF243d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.9k0% Rh007243d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $17.5k0% sportbetss243d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ $41.6k
2.7× usual
84% RN1243d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ $11.5k84% swisstony PROVEN243d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $11.3k86% coinlaundry243d agoexcluded