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Hornets vs. Magicexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $38.6k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Hornets vs. Magicexcluded$38.6k
BUY Magic @ 43¢ · 89,842 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x3625…1187 took Magic (buy) for $38.6k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $38.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $38.6k
- Placed
- Apr 17, 19:30 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 17, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Magic
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x3625…1187
- Tx
- 0x77cf5fec…
This wallet's graded record
5/12-19.2 pts
expected 7.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +57 ptsMagic price · entry 43¢ · resolved Magic
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢ | $152.3k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |