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What this means. A wallet put $54.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?missed
$54.4k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 56,133 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther

What happened

Wallet reketor took No (buy) for $54.4k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $54.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3222American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
97.0%
Size
$54.4k
Placed
Apr 06, 11:50 EDT
Market close
Apr 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
reketor
Tx
0x77c1d3bc…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-70.3 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -97 pts
No price · entry 97¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97¢ · $54.4k WHALE $54.4K @ 97¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 0xab81…6e6d197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $59.9k0% CongMingLabs197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $183.3k0% glueeater197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% discombobulated-chicken197d agoexcluded