← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $75.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$75.2k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 75,394 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)5.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Roflan-ludoman took Yes (sell) for $75.2k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $75.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $75.2k
- Placed
- Jan 03, 08:31 EST
- Market close
- Jan 06, 20:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Roflan-ludoman
- Tx
- 0x767930ab…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+49.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsYes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $226.3k 6.8× usual |
excluded |