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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded
$10.8k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 21,648 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 213546566 took Yes (buy) for $10.8k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
As American odds
−100 no vig
Size
$10.8k
Placed
Jun 25, 21:10 EDT
Market close
Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
213546566
Tx
0x749d828a…

Entry to resolution

Grade -50 pts
Yes price · entry 50¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $10.8k WHALE $10.8K @ 50¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.6k0% DOKTORDOOFENSCHMIRZ120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $33.2k0% Million-Dollar-Rhino120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ $163.7k
6.2× usual
93% swisstony PROVEN120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ $52.5k
2.3× usual
38% ferrariChampions2026120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ $141.5k
3.8× usual
55% ygggg1120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ $46.7k46% neutralwave23 PROVEN120d agoexcluded