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What this means. A wallet put $155.1k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$155.1k
BUY Argentina @ 46¢ · 337,131 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Argentina (buy) for $155.1k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $155.1k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $155.1k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 14:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x74724446…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsArgentina price · entry 46¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |