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What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.6k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 21,707 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet AcctToBeRetired took No (sell) for $21.6k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 0.3%
- Size
- $21.6k
- Placed
- Feb 10, 10:04 EST
- Market close
- Feb 06, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- AcctToBeRetired
- Tx
- 0x742cc19a…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $27.8k | excluded |