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Patriots vs. Broncoscalled
What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on not Broncos, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It won. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
SELL Broncos @ 35¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Soarin22 took Broncos (sell) for $10.5k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 13:59 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Patriots
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Soarin22
- Tx
- 0x74186fd8…
This wallet's graded record
11/19+5.2 pts
expected 10.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +35 ptsBroncos price · entry 35¢ · resolved Patriots · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $36.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |