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What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on Luciano Darderi, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.5k
BUY Luciano Darderi @ 32¢ · 46,046 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet THEBIGBETS took Luciano Darderi (buy) for $14.5k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Casper Ruud, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+217American odds
$1.00paid per share if Luciano Darderi wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 31.5%
- As American odds
- +217 no vig
- Size
- $14.5k
- Placed
- May 15, 07:47 EDT
- Market close
- May 15, 09:45 EDT
- Result
- Casper Ruud
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- THEBIGBETS
- Tx
- 0x72b039ae…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-37.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -32 ptsLuciano Darderi price · entry 32¢ · resolved Casper Ruud
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi | LOW SELL Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢ | $62.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi | LOW SELL Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi | LOW SELL Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢ | $42.8k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi | LOW BUY Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi | MED SELL Casper Ruud @ 86¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi | LOW BUY Casper Ruud @ 69¢ | $30.0k | excluded |