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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
BUY No @ 98.4¢ · 10,376 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet K49032 took No (buy) for $10.2k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 98.4%
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Mar 14, 23:40 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- K49032
- Tx
- 0x6f3bb449…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $141.1k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $537.0k 11.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $728.7k 15.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $1.06M 22.6× usual |
excluded |