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What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.5k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 27,341 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $14.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $14.5k
- Placed
- Sep 11, 02:30 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 11, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x6b6a0b5b…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | LOW SELL No @ 52¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $916.1k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $101.0k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $46.2k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $67.0k | called |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $40.0k | missed |