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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?called
$10.1k
SELL No @ 91¢ · 11,111 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 099play took No (sell) for $10.1k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
91¢
Implied odds
9.0%
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Apr 01, 13:04 EDT
Market close
Apr 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
099play
Tx
0x694d5d98…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+17.8 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +91 pts
No price · entry 91¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 91¢ · $10.1k WHALE $10.1K @ 91¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 0xab81…6e6d197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $59.9k0% CongMingLabs197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $183.3k0% glueeater197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN197d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% discombobulated-chicken197d agoexcluded