← Live flags
US recession in 2025?missed
What this means. A wallet put $21.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US recession in 2025?missed$21.3k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 36,706 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0xe426…9766 took Yes (buy) for $21.3k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- Size
- $21.3k
- Placed
- May 03, 08:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jan 01, 04:23 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe426…9766
- Tx
- 0x68186ffd…
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $124.6k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.5k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $12.4k | excluded |