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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$176.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$269.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $15.42M volume · 6,177 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$249.0k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
29%
113 closed
Wallet age · markets
543d
77 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $26.5k | called |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $31.4k | called |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $12.1k | missed |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $21.3k | missed |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW SELL Yes @ 64¢ | $31.9k | called |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $37.8k | missed |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 33¢ | $15.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe42600…