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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US recession in 2025?excluded
$12.4k
BUY No @ 98.4¢ · 12,585 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet 0xab57…842b took No (buy) for $12.4k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5962American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.4¢
Implied odds
98.4%
Size
$12.4k
Placed
Dec 06, 22:33 EST
Market close
Jan 01, 04:23 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xab57…842b
Tx
0x79b04d2a…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US recession in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $124.6k
5.1× usual
100% Liquidifier296d agoexcluded
US recession in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $38.5k100% 0x7b6c…6305297d agoexcluded
US recession in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $38.9k100% Martiini299d agoexcluded
US recession in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ $18.1k1% betwick310d agoexcluded
US recession in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $18.1k99% betwick313d agoexcluded
US recession in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ $47.6k98% f2hf84hg52h5331d agoexcluded