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What this means. A wallet put $26.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.3k
BUY Yes @ 3.8¢ · 698,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet wiggawithadream took Yes (buy) for $26.3k at an average 3.8¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $26.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 4¢ means
4%chance the market gave
+2555American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 3.8¢
- Implied odds
- 3.8%
- As American odds
- +2555 no vig
- Size
- $26.3k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 08:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wiggawithadream
- Tx
- 0x67608db4…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-15.9 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $150.3k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $90.0k | excluded |