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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on England, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancemissed
$15.0k
BUY England @ 55¢ · 27,397 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet nevrasca123456 took England (buy) for $15.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−121American odds
$1.00paid per share if England wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
55¢
Implied odds
54.8%
As American odds
−121 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Jul 15, 13:53 EDT
Market close
Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
nevrasca123456
Tx
0x660c3204…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+1.0 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -55 pts
England price · entry 55¢ · resolved Argentina
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 55¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 55¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $18.7k0% FinalOrder100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $10.2k0% 0x9e3e…f882100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $24.1k0% g1ggl3r100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $15.6k0% Yeyo73100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $12.5k0% Themanwiththewig420100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $24.9k0% 0x3719…2df0100d agoexcluded