← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on England, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY England @ 55¢ · 27,397 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet nevrasca123456 took England (buy) for $15.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−121American odds
$1.00paid per share if England wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 54.8%
- As American odds
- −121 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 13:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nevrasca123456
- Tx
- 0x660c3204…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+1.0 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsEngland price · entry 55¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $18.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $15.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |