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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.7 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.5k
BUY Yes @ 10¢ · 123,762 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Jsram took Yes (buy) for $12.5k at an average 10¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $12.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 10¢ means
10%chance the market gave
+890American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 10¢
- Implied odds
- 10.1%
- As American odds
- +890 no vig
- Size
- $12.5k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 06:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jsram
- Tx
- 0x65bc2dff…
This wallet's graded record
11/33+3.7 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |