← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
BUY Yes @ 16¢ · 65,540 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet shijiebeifacai took Yes (buy) for $10.4k at an average 16¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 16¢ means
16%chance the market gave
+533American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 16¢
- Implied odds
- 15.8%
- As American odds
- +533 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Jul 08, 10:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- shijiebeifacai
- Tx
- 0x65668d99…
This wallet's graded record
3/4-15.7 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -16 ptsYes price · entry 16¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |