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What this means. A wallet put $37.3k on England, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded
$37.3k
BUY England @ 54¢ · 69,118 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took England (buy) for $37.3k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $37.3k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if England wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
54.0%
As American odds
−117 no vig
Size
$37.3k
Placed
Jul 15, 15:32 EDT
Market close
Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x2c33…0563
Tx
0x63841bbe…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -54 pts
England price · entry 54¢ · resolved Argentina
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $37.3k WHALE $37.3K @ 54¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $18.7k0% FinalOrder100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $10.2k0% 0x9e3e…f882100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $24.1k0% g1ggl3r100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $15.6k0% Yeyo73100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $12.5k0% Themanwiththewig420100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $24.9k0% 0x3719…2df0100d agoexcluded