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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded
$30.0k
BUY Yes @ 68¢ · 44,118 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x87a1…b6ba took Yes (buy) for $30.0k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $30.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
68¢
Implied odds
68.0%
As American odds
−213 no vig
Size
$30.0k
Placed
Mar 03, 14:29 EST
Market close
Mar 03, 15:15 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x87a1…b6ba
Tx
0x62a26436…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+22.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -68 pts
Yes price · entry 68¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 68¢ · $30.0k WHALE $30.0K @ 68¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.8× usual
0% KingVon99234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $26.0k0% ChompChomp888234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% TheOnlyHuman234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% olegio234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% the.Hound234d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $27.7k
2.1× usual
0% xxzws1234d agoexcluded