0x87a1…b6ba

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +22.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?+$23.7kYes · avg 18¢ → 98.5¢ · $29.2k Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?−$120No · avg 56¢ → 50¢ · $880 Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?−$298Yes · avg 50¢ → 35¢ · $702 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?+$75No · avg 54¢ → 94.5¢ · $175 · 1 proven with, 0 against Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?−$17No · avg 52¢ → 43¢ · $83 Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?+$2Yes · avg 5.6¢ → 6.5¢ · $12 Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?−$0Yes · avg 17¢ → 17¢ · $10

Price-adjusted edge

+22.5 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$109.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±41.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$30.8k

Last 30 days +$2,132 · $2.33M volume · 216 trades · since Feb 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$453.0k

Open P&L · 51 positions

−$420.4k

Closed-position win rate

97%

79 closed

Wallet age · markets

262d

130 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.8	+22.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢	$14.6k	53%	198d ago	excluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢	$20.0k	77%	219d ago	called
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢	$30.0k	68%	234d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?	LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢	$25.0k	64%	236d ago	excluded
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?	LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢	$20.0k	71%	241d ago	excluded

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?excluded

BUY Yes @ 53¢$14.6k

LOW 0x87a1…b6ba · 198d ago

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?called

BUY Yes @ 77¢$20.0k

LOW 0x87a1…b6ba · 219d ago

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?excluded

BUY Yes @ 68¢$30.0k

LOW 0x87a1…b6ba · 234d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded

BUY Yes @ 64¢$25.0k

LOW 0x87a1…b6ba · 236d ago

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?excluded

BUY Yes @ 71¢$20.0k

LOW 0x87a1…b6ba · 241d ago

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