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What this means. A wallet put $73.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$73.6k
BUY No @ 99.1¢ · 74,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet WordleAddict took No (buy) for $73.6k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $73.6k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−11011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.1¢
- Implied odds
- 99.1%
- Size
- $73.6k
- Placed
- May 19, 22:04 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- WordleAddict
- Tx
- 0x62a19e9f…
This wallet's graded record
6/10-1.5 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $849.3k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $193.8k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $781.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $72.9k 3.7× usual |
excluded |