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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY No @ 98.7¢ · 10,175 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet ClaudeAI took No (buy) for $10.0k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7592American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.7¢
- Implied odds
- 98.7%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Feb 21, 13:14 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ClaudeAI
- Tx
- 0x61fc6fd7…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-45.3 pts
expected 5.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $56.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |