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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
SELL Yes @ 11¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet MEPP took Yes (sell) for $11.0k at an average 11¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 11¢
- Implied odds
- 89.0%
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Jun 05, 12:52 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MEPP
- Tx
- 0x61596491…
This wallet's graded record
3/11-9.8 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -89 ptsYes price · entry 11¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |