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What this means. A wallet put $21.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.2k
SELL Yes @ 52¢ · 40,855 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Yes (sell) for $21.2k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $21.2k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 15:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0x60eca075…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $107.8k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 78¢ | $43.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $17.4k | excluded |