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Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $58.7k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$58.7k
BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ · 118,936 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Nuggets (buy) for $58.7k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $58.7k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.4%
- As American odds
- +103 no vig
- Size
- $58.7k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 19:32 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 25, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x5fc6d0b1…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsNuggets price · entry 49¢ · resolved Timberwolves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| HIGH SELL Timberwolves @ 93.2¢ | $120.7k 4.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |