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Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $82.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?excluded$82.6k
BUY Yes @ 96.7¢ · 85,405 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took Yes (buy) for $82.6k at an average 96.7¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $82.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2975American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.7¢
- Implied odds
- 96.7%
- As American odds
- −2975 no vig
- Size
- $82.6k
- Placed
- Oct 06, 16:32 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 06, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0x5ee9f929…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.95M | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 94.6¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 95.6¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 92.5¢ | $22.5k | excluded |