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What this means. A wallet put $28.0k on Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicexcluded
$28.0k
BUY Alcaraz @ 78¢ · 35,999 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet gmanas took Alcaraz (buy) for $28.0k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $28.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−351American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alcaraz wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
78¢
Implied odds
77.8%
As American odds
−351 no vig
Size
$28.0k
Placed
Feb 01, 05:21 EST
Market close
Feb 01, 03:30 EST
Result
Alcaraz
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
gmanas
Tx
0x5eb3b4fa…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% sportbetss265d agoexcluded
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $13.3k0% lmzy9265d agoexcluded
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% 0x94e4…2943265d agoexcluded
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $14.0k0% 0xb9e6…2f0f265d agoexcluded
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% gopfan2265d agoexcluded
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $209.6k
8.5× usual
0% 0x7671…7244265d agoexcluded