← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on not Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet gopfan2 took Alcaraz (sell) for $20.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 06:59 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 03:30 EST
- Result
- Alcaraz
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gopfan2
- Tx
- 0x643e674a…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+4.1 pts
expected 5.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $209.6k 8.5× usual |
excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99¢ | $18.1k | excluded |