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What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thundermissed
$14.7k
BUY Spurs @ 40¢ · 36,671 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet mooseborzoi took Spurs (buy) for $14.7k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.0%
As American odds
+150 no vig
Size
$14.7k
Placed
May 26, 11:14 EDT
Market close
May 26, 20:30 EDT
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
mooseborzoi
Tx
0x5e4e52b3…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -40 pts
Spurs price · entry 40¢ · resolved Thunder
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $14.7k WHALE $14.7K @ 40¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% ThewhitewhaleV2150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% PS003150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $14.1k0% mirroredtrade-RocWins150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderMED BUY Thunder @ 85¢ $140.0k
3.4× usual
85% 0x2c33…0563150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderMED SELL Thunder @ 91¢ $30.5k9% johnny234150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 92¢ $10.1k92% mitraa150d agoexcluded