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Spurs vs. Thundermissed
What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.7k
BUY Spurs @ 40¢ · 36,671 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Spurs (buy) for $14.7k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $14.7k
- Placed
- May 26, 11:14 EDT
- Market close
- May 26, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x5e4e52b3…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsSpurs price · entry 40¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 85¢ | $140.0k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED SELL Thunder @ 91¢ | $30.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 92¢ | $10.1k | excluded |