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Spread: Bills (-5.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Bills (-5.5)called$12.8k
BUY Bills @ 51¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet esportsbetter1 took Bills (buy) for $12.8k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $12.8k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 19:06 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- esportsbetter1
- Tx
- 0x59eb5f58…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+10.7 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsBills price · entry 51¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | LOW BUY Lions @ 50¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | LOW BUY Lions @ 50¢ | $58.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | LOW BUY Bills @ 50¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | LOW BUY Lions @ 51¢ | $13.0k | missed |