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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.4k
SELL Yes @ 94.1¢ · 13,219 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet pakukudolphi took Yes (sell) for $12.4k at an average 94.1¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.1¢
- Implied odds
- 5.9%
- Size
- $12.4k
- Placed
- Sep 30, 02:40 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 16:29 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pakukudolphi
- Tx
- 0x59c4eccd…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-28.5 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsYes price · entry 94.1¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.8¢ | $12.6k | called |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.2¢ | $16.4k | called |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.7¢ | $11.5k | called |