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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

OpenStarts Thu 8:15p ET
$13.8k

Spread: Packers (-3.5)

ArielFilipino bought Panthers at 50¢. The price gave that side a 50% chance. 27,500 shares, Oct 28, 14:56 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Panthers, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet ArielFilipino bought Panthers for $13.8k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied 50% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 3 of 4 on graded bets, +22.4 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $13.8k+0
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−101American odds
$1.00paid per share if Panthers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.6 pts
Panthers price · entry 50¢ · now 50¢
45¢50¢55¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $13.8k WHALE $13.8K @ 50¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $10.0k50% PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN2h agoOpenStarts Thu 8:15p ET

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Green Bay$11.7k65¢5h ago
NO Green Bay wins by over 4.5 points$58.1k54¢5h ago
NO Jonnu Smith: 1+$22.5k90¢6h ago