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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Trail Blazers, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY Trail Blazers @ 48¢ · 22,256 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet gmpm2 took Trail Blazers (buy) for $10.7k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Kings, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Trail Blazers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 16:25 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Kings
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gmpm2
- Tx
- 0x549706f5…
This wallet's graded record
9/19-9.1 pts
expected 10.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsTrail Blazers price · entry 48¢ · resolved Kings
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Kings @ 51¢ | $10.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY Kings @ 53¢ | $11.3k | called |