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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Trail Blazers, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)missed
$10.7k
BUY Trail Blazers @ 48¢ · 22,256 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet gmpm2 took Trail Blazers (buy) for $10.7k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Kings, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Trail Blazers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
48.0%
As American odds
+108 no vig
Size
$10.7k
Placed
Oct 23, 16:25 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 22:00 EDT
Result
Kings
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
gmpm2
Tx
0x549706f5…
This wallet's graded record
9/19-9.1 pts
expected 10.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Trail Blazers price · entry 48¢ · resolved Kings
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $10.7k WHALE $10.7K @ 48¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)LOW BUY Kings @ 51¢ $10.2k51% gmpm21d agocalled
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)LOW BUY Kings @ 53¢ $11.3k53% ArielFilipino1d agocalled