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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Kings, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
BUY Kings @ 51¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet gmpm2 took Kings (buy) for $10.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Kings, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Kings wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 15:16 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Kings
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gmpm2
- Tx
- 0x09e14879…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-6.9 pts
expected 10.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsKings price · entry 51¢ · resolved Kings
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 48¢ | $10.7k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Kings @ 53¢ | $11.3k | called |