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What this means. A wallet put $33.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?missed
$33.6k
BUY No @ 91.7¢ · 36,660 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet SSD8787 took No (buy) for $33.6k at an average 91.7¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $33.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1103American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
91.7¢
Implied odds
91.7%
Size
$33.6k
Placed
Mar 31, 22:23 EDT
Market close
Apr 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
SSD8787
Tx
0x5292b970…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -92 pts
No price · entry 91.7¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 91.7¢ · $33.6k WHALE $33.6K @ 91.7¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 0xab81…6e6d196d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN196d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $59.9k0% CongMingLabs196d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $183.3k0% glueeater196d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN196d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% discombobulated-chicken197d agoexcluded