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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$184.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $681.7k volume · 47 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$17.2k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$2,500
Closed-position win rate
69%
13 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
16 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY No @ 91.7¢ | $33.6k | missed |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $16.1k | called |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $13.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xafccf7…