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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?excluded
$10.8k
BUY No @ 95.1¢ · 11,384 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet ditto555 took No (buy) for $10.8k at an average 95.1¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1930American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.1¢
Implied odds
95.1%
Size
$10.8k
Placed
Feb 20, 15:06 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ditto555
Tx
0x4df226dc…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.7k0% 0x5813…b464244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $56.6k100% ClaudeAI244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $15.9k100% nghiapham244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $26.3k100% tsekinming01244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.2k100% net-50CUT244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k100% cripes3244d agoexcluded