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Thunder vs. Spursexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $24.4k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Spursexcluded$24.4k
BUY Thunder @ 43¢ · 56,839 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Thunder (buy) for $24.4k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $24.4k
- Placed
- May 24, 20:11 EDT
- Market close
- May 24, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0x4d714d4b…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsThunder price · entry 43¢ · resolved Spurs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $110.0k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $76.9k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | MED SELL Spurs @ 92.9¢ | $32.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | MED BUY Spurs @ 96.1¢ | $240.2k 9.5× usual |
excluded |