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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 29¢ · 51,724 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x499f…ccaf took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 29¢ means
29%chance the market gave
+245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 29¢
- Implied odds
- 29.0%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- May 06, 14:45 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 18:08 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x499f…ccaf
- Tx
- 0x4c7e374b…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+15.5 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $169.7k 11.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.3k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |