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What this means. A wallet put $22.7k on Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.7k
BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢ · 27,672 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet WeirdoAAAB took Natus Vincere (buy) for $22.7k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved Natus Vincere, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−456American odds
$1.00paid per share if Natus Vincere wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 82.0%
- As American odds
- −456 no vig
- Size
- $22.7k
- Placed
- May 17, 12:50 EDT
- Market close
- May 17, 14:25 EDT
- Result
- Natus Vincere
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- WeirdoAAAB
- Tx
- 0x4c0a2051…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-20.9 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsNatus Vincere price · entry 82¢ · resolved Natus Vincere
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 92¢ | $40.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 83¢ | $12.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢ | $13.9k | excluded |