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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -20.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-20.9 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$35.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$42.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $227.4k volume · 32 trades · since May 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$24.6k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$17.3k
Closed-position win rate
52%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
167d
23 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -20.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $12.8k | missed |
 Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs | LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢ | $22.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x98fcee…