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What this means. A wallet put $30.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.7k
BUY No @ 78¢ · 39,345 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took No (buy) for $30.7k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 78.0%
- As American odds
- −355 no vig
- Size
- $30.7k
- Placed
- Apr 27, 10:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 02:04 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x4ba1ba6f…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $15.4k | called |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $15.9k | missed |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $27.1k | called |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $14.2k | called |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $32.8k | called |