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HerbertAppreciator

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +63.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+63.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$14.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$108.4k
Last 30 days −$11.9k · $5.72M volume · 450 trades · since Aug 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$116.7k
Open P&L · 93 positions
−$31.7k
Closed-position win rate
84%
37 closed
Wallet age · markets
428d
130 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.4+63.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ $14.2k37% 138d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3cd63e…